Former Obama campaign manager Jim Messina said that it is well-known that polls taken a year before an election are trash. He urged Democrats to stop worrying.

Joe Scarborough said on MSNBC’s Morning Joe, “Here’s the new Hampshire poll from Emerson yesterday. That shows just how irrelevant. I believe this. You may disagree that Joe Biden’s approval ratings a year out may be in New Hampshire’s approval rating according to a recent Emerson poll is 37% but you match him up against Donald Trump. Don’t compare me to the Almighty, compare me to the alternative as President Biden says it’s not even close.

Messina said:

You talked about this in the last block like right now he’s running against the almighty, but next year it’ll be a choice between two very defined, very clear candidates in Donald Trump and Joe Biden and guess what? We’ve already had that election and it’s clear that Joe Biden won that election and will win this again. I’m not being Pollyannish. I’m not saying this is gonna be easy because it’s not.

But we know that a year ago, a year out, these polls are just absolute garbage. Mika showed the 2011, the famous Nate Silver put us on the cover of the New York Times and said Obama was toast and he had a 17% chance to win and we won handily from what I remember. And so that’s why these polls are just garbage in the end. This is a choice between two very different things. The other thing you know, Mika is right. We have democracy and we also have the issue of abortion in 2023 in over 20 elections around the country. Democrats overperform by nine points in elections all over the country because of the issue of abortion.


The reason why the polls are trash mainly is because there is election yet. Polls taken a year before an election aren’t measuring the election itself. Voters aren’t engaged especially in this election because Donald Trump has run away with the Republican primary and Joe Biden as an incumbent president has the Democratic primary locked up.

For the last decade plus, presidential approval ratings have proven meaningless as a determinative factor in elections. Both Obama and Trump outperformed their approval ratings as incumbents.

Polling has not adjusted to the demographic shifts in the country and the partisan divide in the nation. Democrats need to stop paying attention to polls, and just keep working toward victory in 2024.

Source link

Previous articleLast chance to get Samsung’s The Frame TV with a big reduction
Next articlePsoriasis vs. Eczema: Understanding the Differences
Harmony Evans is an award-winning author of Harlequin Kimani Romance, African-American romance, and so on. Harmony Evans is an award-winning author for Harlequin Kimani Romance, the leading publisher of African-American romance. Her 2nd novel, STEALING KISSES, will be released in November 2013. Harmony is a single mom to a beautiful, too-smart-for-her-own-good daughter, who makes her grateful for life daily. Her hobbies include cooking, baking, knitting, reading, and of course, napping and also review some of the best-selling and popular brands and services in the market and also write comprehensive blogs.


Please enter your comment!
Please enter your name here